Updated: Mar 15
Welcome back to the 2nd edition of the MGG Betting Guide this week, The Players. This is a huge tournament, dubbed the 5th major by golf fans and media alike. There will be 48 of the top 50 players in the field, as Brooks Koepka withdrew with a knee injury on Sunday. The name of the game at TPC Sawgrass is accuracy, with small greens and distance not being rewarded as much. As always, all plays will be taken from the Draftkings Sportsbook - sign up at this link - if you want to play along.
Last Week: +6.6 Units
YTD since the start of the Midwest Golf Guide: +6.6 Units
Tournament Long Plays (0-4) -4 Units
Viktor Hovland - Top Former Oklahoma State Player… 1 Unit +110 LOSS
Scottie Scheffler - Top 30… 1 Unit +125... LOSS
Max Homa - Top 30… 1 Unit +225... LOSS
Tony Finau - Top 10… 1 Unit +225... LOSS
Round 1 Matchups (Tie No Bet)
Scheffler over Henley -136… 1 Unit
Homa over Knox -129… 1 Unit
Morikawa over DeChambeau -105… 1 Unit
Round 1 Matchup Parlay (Tie No Bet)
+1379… 0.5 Units
Werenski over Streelman
Homa over Knox
Matsuyama over English
Finau over Howell
Scheffler over Henley
Round 1 Results: 1-3… -1.5 Units
Bad day all around, made worse with Morikawa blowing a 2 stroke lead to Bryson over the final 3 holes. It seemed like he was cruising to at least a 3 or 4 under day, until an uncharacteristic fairway wood into the drink on 16 set up 2 straight bogeys. Max played well, but couldn’t sink enough putts to keep up with Knox. Looking ahead to a better day 2, and getting our money back.
Round 2 Plays:
Jordan Spieth to card an Eagle: +550, 1 Unit... LOSS
Scottie Scheffler -136 over Henley (tie no bet… 1 Unit... WIN
Justin Thomas -117 over Cantlay… 1 Unit... WIN
Round 2 Update: +0.6 Units. 2-1, -0.9 total
We got a little back yesterday going 2-0 in matchups. Spieth didn't card the eagle while a ton of them were flying around the course yesterday. All 3 of our pre tourney finishing position bets ended up missing the cut, and Max Homa especially hurts as he went bogey-bogey-bogey to finish and found the water on 17 (8th hole of the day for him). The missed 5 footer on 7 ultimately did him in.
Round 3 Plays:
We're putting a unit on each of the highlighted plays. A win will knock +100 off of it, but still be able to have a nice net positive, and a 2/6 chance of winning with who I feel are the best golfers in those groups.
Round 3 Results: 2-0, +4.5 Units
Bryson, winner. +2.5 Units (-1 for Im)... +1.5 Units
Westwood, winner. +4 units (-1 for Fitz), +3 total
Great day Saturday getting 4.5 units back, bringing us to +3.6 on the weekend. No plays Sunday as I just enjoyed the tourney, congrats to JT! Overall Tourney plays went 0-4 for -4 units, so we netted out at -0.4 for the weekend, I guess we'll take it!
Best of luck! Let me know your plays in the comments! Will add/update my plays as the tournament goes along!